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Monday, February 19, 2024

My Next Prediction

Swear to Goddess, I don't know what's wrong with people. The pundits are busy saying that there will be a General Election in this country in the Spring, around May time. So let's look at this.

The reality is the only person in this country who by law can call a General Election is the current Prime Minister and he's a twat. So there are actually two different things going on here.

1. The law is that a GE must be called by a date early in 2025 - I think it's the end of January although this is without checking. People keep quoting this because they're law-abiding folks who take their turn but for some reason they're still not noticing that the government are not like that. What is wrong with them? So it isn't impossible that they will use any excuse they can find not to hold an election at all, whether or not it's legal. Their Rwanda programme has been judged illegal but they've continued with it, so why people would think they would follow any other law is incredible.

2. If they decide they've asset stripped the country of whatever they can (not for any reason of democracy or legality), Riski will call the election much later this year, in the Autumn or even as late as December.

Assuming we have an election the next government will be a Starmer Labour government which would not currently be my preferred outcome. I do hope the people who vote for it aren't disappointed at what they actually get. I've actually never voted for any of the governments we've had in my lifetime and don't intend to start now!

I'm also going to predict something about a result which is unlikely. In the event we have yet another Tory government this would be a disaster and tragedy because of the deaths but would have a strange side benefit.

This would be that another Tory term would essentially end the Conservative and Unionist Party. This may sound like it's impossible but previously the Whig and the old Liberal Parties were fixtures of our country and no longer exist. 

Every year marks further deaths of traditional Tory voters and the youngsters who are cunts will vote Reform UK. If they don't have another term to keep reminding people how terrible they are, the pendulum will swing back and we'll get future Tory governments. 

The reason the same donors are giving to both Tories and Labour is they can also see the scenario of the Conservative party dying out and they have millions to spend in double bribes. They also correctly see that if the Conservative Party dies the real hard right (a minority) would vote Reform UK but the furthest right Party would then be Labour.

It's also not unusual for political parties to move round on the political scale or even swap over. For example the Republican party abolished slavery in the US but now want the death penalty for an abortion FFS.

In the event Labour takes the place of the Tories moderates would go to the Lib Dems and leftists to the Greens. 

My best prediction is an election late Autumn into the Winter and Starmer to win. Here in Birmingham Ladywood I'll be voting Green and I think we'll get the same Labour MP with a reduced majority because she's pissed off the Muslims. If I thought the Lib Dems could unseat her I would vote for them.

This is the Party anthem of the Liberal Democrats, just because I like it.



2 comments:

  1. I don't really understand the political process there, only that you don't seem trapped in a two-party oligarchy like we are. That must be nice! I, like many Americans, am deeply disappointed that we have to choose between the two dinosaurs again in a ridiculous new match up. I've had it up to the tits with all this pussyfooting! I guess that's why I've been so keen on considering a life of piracy lately. Democracy was born from pirates you know! Wish we could toss these geriatric old goats overboard and call for a new vote. If I were orchestrating this chaos, it would be Nikki Haley VS Pete Buttigieg. Now that would be interesting!

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    1. We are really, just not quite to the extent you are: in my lifetime every government has either been Labour or Conservative except for a short time when the Liberal Democrats were in coalition with the Conservatives. What I find strange about American politics is the way your presidential candidates are selected like it's a very small village instead of a country with a huge population, so the same families keep reappearing. 😢 And yes, anyone aged around 80 really deserves to stay at home with their hobbies....

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